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Free Picks September 14-16, 2006

Written by BetWWTS and Ecobika Free Sport Betting Picks


LOS ANGELES -150 (KUO) VS. CHICAGO (MILLER) 2:20 ET September 14. I really liked the way the Dodgers bounced back last night at Wrigley after giving up a game they should have won the night before. They took off out of the gates, and broke it wide open in the 5th inning with a four run frame. Look for more of the same as the Dodgers continue to battle pretty much the entire NL West for the division crown. This Kuo kid impressed in his one and only start last week at New York pitching 6 innings of shut-out ball while striking out 7 and walking 3. The Cubs tend to make pitchers they've never seen before look like Cy Young, so I'm expecting them to be fooled by this guys stuff as well. Wade Miller is making his second start since coming off the DL. The first one wasn't pretty in Atlanta where he gave up 5 hits and 4 earned runs in only 3 innings of work. He'll be on a pitch count once again this afternoon, and it shouldn't take the Dodger bats more than an inning or two to figure his stuff out. It's weak, and nowhere near what he was capable of a few years back. With an important weekend series with San Diego on deck, look for the Dodgers to get out of Wrigley with a series victory.


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PHILADELPHIA +123 (MOYER) VS. ATLANTA (JAMES) 7:35 ET September 14. The Phills have won 3 of Jamie Moyer's four starts since he came over from the Mariners, and I'm expecting them to complete the sweep this evening before heading out to Houston for an important 3-game set. As long as the Phills continue to pound the ball in the clutch, I'll be riding them. Even more so with such a nice return!!! Am I seeing this correctly? The Braves are a buck thirty chalk at home to beat the Phillies. The same Phillies that swept a double header from them yesterday, and the same Phillies that have won 11 of the 17 match-ups this year. You must be talking about another Philly team, or is it the one that now only sits 1.5 games in back of the Padres for the Wild Card lead? You've got to be kidding me!!!! The Braves do NOT deserve to be the chalk in any meeting with the Phillies at this point in the season. Certainly not this high of one. They're home field advantage is null and void, and was never a really good one to begin with. Ryan Howard is swinging like a madman, and most of the Braves big hitters are riding the pine injured.


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MARYLAND/WEST VIRGINIA OVER 47 7:30 ET ESPN September 14. Make no mistake about it people, this is a huge rivalry that's seen the Terps get the best of the Mountaineers the L/5 years. Both Head Coaches Ralph Friedgen and Rich Rodriguez took over each of their respective programs back in 2001, and it's been The Fridge that holds the upper hand in the series by a 3-2 margin. That being said, the Mountaineers are a much different animal right now than they've ever been under the tutelage of HC Rodriguez. They come into this match-up the #5 ranked team in the country, and will no doubt want to put on a show for all the casual onlookers with this being the only primetime pigskin game of the night. However, the turtles aren't just going to lay down and allow the Mounty's to manhandle them. I believe Maryland has kept it very low key in their first two games of the season. Once they built a comfy first half lead vs. MTSU last week, HC Friedgen elected to pull a bulk of his starters and march a number of his reserves in for the remainder of the game. He also hasn't shown much of his aerial attack this year, and I'm hoping he's planned on unleashing it against WV's inexperienced secondary. That's where the Mounty's are most susceptible, so I'm sure the big guy has devised a plan to attempt to pick it apart. I'm going to give him and the turtles the benefit of the doubt and predict they'll be able to do it. However, I don't see the Terps containing WV's potent offensive attack at all, and RB Slaton has already said he plans on doing a number vs. the team he planned on playing for early in his career. QB White will also be able to burn the Terps defense with both his legs and his arm, and I'm looking for enough points to be accumulated by both squads to push the total 'Over' the closing number.


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IOWA STATE (+13') VS. IOWA 12:00 ET ESPN September 16
Remember, QB Tate sat out last week's game at Syracuse with an apparent abdomen injury. He won't be 100% in this one, and if the Cyclones manage to knock him out you'll cringe once you see back-up QB Manson in action. He looks the part, but he can't throw worth a damn (4 INT's). Wow, wow, wow!!! This line is way too high people!!! This is an enormous rivalry that's seen Iowa State hang with much better Iowa clubs in the past both ATS and SU!!! Don't fall for the trap!!! Even if you think Iowa will simply take it to the Cyclones after they were embarrassed in Ames last year. Don't do it. Take all the points you can get here, and enjoy what's going to be another classic battle. ISU is a solid 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS the L/8 times these teams have met. Iowa State is a very well coached football team. HC Dan McCarney is an alumnus of the University of Iowa, and has coached on the same staff with Kirk Ferentz in the past. These two guys know each other very well, and that's a main reason why these games have been so competitive in recent years. The Cyclones still boast a fantastic offense led by QB Bret Meyer who was one of the Big 12's best QB's a year ago. They've got an excellent WR corps and a solid running game. They will be able to put some points up on the board vs. the Hawkeyes defense. Grab all the points you can get as these teams square off for Iowa bragging rights.


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MICHIGAN (+6') VS. NOTRE DAME 3:30 ET NBC September 16. Rev up the hype monster, because Michigan/Notre Dame is here!!!! You really never have to dig into all the numbers in this rivalry game. Your best bet is to just take as many points as your out is offering since the underdog is a stellar 9-1 ATS the L/10 times they've met. The Irish knocked off the maize and blue in the Big house last year as seven-point underdogs, and now it will be Michigan that look's to return the favor this season. The Wolverines are saying all the right things heading into this match-up, and it's Notre Dame that's begging them to come and prove it. Well, I believe they'll do just that and give the Irish faithful a major scare along the way. Michigan looked awfully good a week ago ripping apart what I believe to be a decent Central Michigan squad. The Irish looked good as well in defeating Penn state, but the Wolverines are a completely different monster. They're much more experienced on both sides of the ball, and I think they have the better overall defense. Look for them to try and get pressure on QB Quinn on a consistent basis since GTECH showed that as being the key to keeping this Irish offense grounded. Offensively, look for RB Mike Hart to be the reason the Wolverines cash this ticket. Passing has been darn near impossible against the Irish this year with their solid safety tandem, but running the ball hasn't. The Irish have given up a combined 277 yards in their first two games. Look for RB Hart to bounce back with a huge effort here after getting knocked out of last year's game in the first half. This will no doubt be a more entertaining game than last season, but as much as things change they tend to stay the same. In other words, grab the points!!!


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HAWAII (-12) VS. UNLV 12:00 ET September 16. The Rebels lost a tough game last week even though they believe they won it on the final play of the game. In case you were unaware, the last play of the game saw QB Steichen loft the ball into the endzone for an apparent TD catch. However, the officials said the pass was incomplete and the game was over. UNLV was so irate that it refused to go into the locker room for 15 minutes screaming at the officials and waving their helmets in the air. Still, they lost the game and might have lost QB Rocky Hinds for an undetermined amount of time as well. Now they have to trek out to the islands to take on a Hawaii team that I feel is a complete monster this season. The Warriors have one of the best offenses in the country on hand, and its defense will no doubt play better in front of the home crowd. QB Colt Brennan is the best QB in the country whom you've never heard of, and he's got one of the best WR corps in the country as well. UNLV is an improved team this year, but I don't believe their heads will be in this one. The island is always a tough place for opponents to come and play because of the beautiful surroundings. Hawaii has had two weeks to prepare for this game after nearly upsetting Alabama in Week 1. It's lights out for UNLV tonight, but at least they'll get to partake in some beautiful sight seeing and maybe be fortunate enough to get leised.


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